Energies

Should I Fix My Energy Prices Now? — Price Cap vs Fixed Tariff Guide

Is it worth fixing your energy prices or staying on the price cap? Compare fixed tariffs vs variable rates, when locking in saves money, and how to decide for your household.

With energy prices fluctuating, choosing between a fixed tariff and the variable price cap is a key household decision. Here’s how to decide.

Fixed Tariff vs Price Cap — Key Differences

Feature Fixed Tariff Variable (Price Cap)
Rate changes Locked in for 12-24 months Changes every quarter
Price certainty High Low
Can it go up? No (during fix) Yes, each quarter
Can it go down? No (during fix) Yes, if cap falls
Exit fees Sometimes (£25-£100 per fuel) None
Switching May cost during contract Free anytime
Best for Budget certainty Flexibility, falling prices

How the Energy Price Cap Works

Element What it caps
Unit rate (electricity) Maximum pence per kWh
Unit rate (gas) Maximum pence per kWh
Standing charge Maximum daily amount
Review frequency Every 3 months (Jan, Apr, Jul, Oct)
Typical household bill ~£1,568/year (Q1 2026 cap)

The cap sets the maximum rate — suppliers can charge less, and some do.

When to Fix Your Energy Prices

Fixing makes sense when:

Indicator Why fix
Fixed deal cheaper than current cap Guaranteed savings
Energy prices expected to rise Lock in before increases
Winter approaching Usage and prices typically higher
You want budget certainty Same monthly payment regardless
Volatile wholesale markets Protection from sudden rises

The Price Cap Forecast

Quarter Expected cap (typical household) Direction
Current ~£1,568/year
Next quarter Check Ofgem forecast Watch Cornwall Insight/analysts

If fixed deals are available below the current or forecasted cap, they’re likely worth taking.

When to Stay on the Variable Rate

Indicator Why stay variable
Cap expected to fall You’ll benefit from drops
Fixed deals above the cap Fixing would cost more
You want flexibility No exit fees, switch anytime
Short-term renter May move before fix ends
Low energy user Smaller potential savings

How to Compare — Unit Rates, Not Annual Estimates

Don’t just compare headline annual figures. Compare the unit rates and standing charges:

What to compare Fixed offer Current cap rate
Electricity unit rate (p/kWh) e.g., 24.2p e.g., 24.5p
Gas unit rate (p/kWh) e.g., 5.8p e.g., 6.0p
Electricity standing charge (/day) e.g., 61p e.g., 61p
Gas standing charge (/day) e.g., 31p e.g., 32p

If the fixed rates are lower across the board, fix. If they’re higher, stay variable.

Calculating Your Potential Savings

Your annual usage Cap rate cost Fixed rate cost Annual saving
Typical (2,700 kWh elec, 11,500 kWh gas) £1,568 £1,480 (example) £88
Medium-high (3,500 kWh elec, 15,000 kWh gas) £2,000 £1,890 (example) £110
High (5,000 kWh elec, 20,000 kWh gas) £2,800 £2,640 (example) £160

Higher usage households save more from fixing at a lower rate.

Tips for Getting the Best Energy Deal

1. Use Comparison Sites

  • Ofgem’s accredited comparison sites: Uswitch, Compare the Market, MoneySupermarket
  • Check direct with suppliers too — some deals aren’t on comparison sites

2. Check for Exit Fees

Tariff type Exit fee
Exit-fee-free fixed £0
Standard fixed £25-£100 per fuel
Last 49 days of contract £0 (always fee-free)

3. Consider Your Usage Pattern

User type Strategy
Low user (small flat, out all day) Standing charge matters more
Average user Unit rate matters most
High user (large house, WFH, EV) Unit rate critical — fix if cheaper
Economy 7/10 (night storage) Check specific multi-register rates

4. Set Calendar Reminders

When Action
8 weeks before fix ends Start comparing deals
4 weeks before fix ends Lock in your best option
When fix ends Check you’re on the new deal
Each quarter (Jan, Apr, Jul, Oct) Review when price cap changes

Smart Meters and Switching

A smart meter makes switching easier:

Benefit Detail
Accurate bills No estimated readings
Easy switching New supplier reads meter remotely
Usage tracking See when you use most energy
Prepayment flexibility Top up online instead of at shops

Sources

  1. Ofgem — Energy price cap